World food prices hit 3-year high in July as weather, wars push up cereal costs


FAO’s global food price index climbed to its highest level since January 2023, with rising wheat, edible oil and sugar prices signalling fresh inflationary risks for consumers worldwide.

Global food prices climbed to a more than three-year high in July as extreme weather conditions and escalating conflicts in the Gulf and Black Sea regions disrupted agricultural markets, according to the UN Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO).

The FAO Food Price Index, which tracks monthly changes in a basket of internationally traded food commodities, averaged 131.1 points in July, up from 130.3 in June and marking its highest reading since January 2023.

The increase was largely driven by a 3.4 per cent month-on-month rise in cereal prices, led by a 5.8 per cent jump in global wheat prices. The FAO said concerns over potential export disruptions from the Black Sea region and heat-related crop damage in key producing countries pushed wheat prices higher.

Vegetable oil prices also continued their upward trend, with the FAO’s vegetable oil index rising 2 per cent to its highest level since June 2022. Higher crude oil prices amid escalating tensions involving Iran and robust demand for biodiesel supported gains in palm and soybean oil, although rapeseed and sunflower oil prices eased.

Sugar prices increased 5.6 per cent during the month, reflecting weather-related concerns across Europe and Asia, alongside expectations of stronger ethanol demand in Brazil, which could divert more sugarcane towards fuel production.

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In contrast, the FAO’s meat price index fell 2.8 per cent from its record high in June. Prices for poultry, pig and bovine meat declined, while sheep meat reached a record high due to tight export supplies from Oceania. Dairy prices also edged down 0.7 per cent.

Despite the latest increase, the overall food price index remains 18.2 per cent below the record peak recorded in March 2022, when Russia’s invasion of Ukraine triggered a sharp spike in global food markets.

The FAO has warned that geopolitical conflicts, adverse weather linked to El Niño and supply disruptions could keep global food inflation elevated in the coming months, raising concerns for both consumers and policymakers.

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