China’s stock rally poised to run on as household savings pour into equities



Households continued to shift money into mainland China’s US$12.7 trillion stock market last month, suggesting that a rally in equities has room to run, according to data published by the central bank.

Deposits at non-banking financial institutions rose by 1.17 trillion yuan (US$164.3 billion) in August, marking a second month of increases after July saw an inflow of 2.15 trillion yuan, data from the People’s Bank of China showed. The figure covers money parked at brokerages, mutual-fund companies and trust firms.

M1, a money-supply gauge measuring demand deposits that can be taken out from banks at any time, rose 6 per cent year on year, the fastest since January 2023, indicating that money was primed for investment after conversion from term deposits, according to the data.

The statistics help confirm that a bull run that drove the Shanghai Composite Index to a decade high last month was largely fuelled by a rotation out of banking deposits as people sought more attractive alternatives. While China’s economy remained sluggish, investors were more focused on the prospects of stock gains thanks to advances in artificial intelligence, possible stimulus measures and a de-escalation of tensions with the US.

“Low-interest-rate policies are squeezing the returns from traditional banking deposits,” said Wang Kai, an analyst at Guosen Securities in Shanghai. “That has set the stage for capital shifting out for better returns. The trend is taking hold that the rotation is heading towards the capital market now.”

After years of underperformance, Chinese stocks now stand out across asset classes. The earnings yield of China’s biggest listed companies, which measures how much companies return in earnings for each dollar invested, is at 5.5 per cent, according to Bloomberg data. That compares with the 1.791 per cent yield on China’s 10-year government bonds and the less than 1 per cent interest rates the large, state-owned banks pay on demand deposits.

  • Related Posts

    Petrol, diesel price cut possible if crude oil stays low for 2-3 months: Hardeep Pu – Firstpost

    Lower crude oil prices could pave the way for a reduction in petrol and diesel prices if the trend continues over the next two to three months, Petroleum and Natural…

    Continue reading
    Air India Express resumes Kuwait and Salalah flights after West Asia disruptions – Firstpost

    Air India Express has restored flight operations to Kuwait and Salalah, marking the full resumption of its West Asia network after weeks of disruption caused by regional airspace restrictions. The…

    Continue reading

    Leave a Reply

    Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *