How Persian Gulf turmoil is reshaping Europe-Asia aviation landscape



With major Persian Gulf aviation hubs largely paralysed by airspace closures amid the escalating conflict involving the US, Israel and Iran, travellers have flocked to direct Asia-Europe routes, driving a sharp surge in airfares.

This week, economy class on most direct one-way Beijing-Paris flights is fully booked, with a small number of economy seats – plus premium economy and business class seats – remaining.

Economy seats on an Air China flight on Sunday are already booked out, with a one-way Beijing-Paris business-class ticket priced at around 77,000 yuan ($11,127), according to Trip.com Group, China’s largest online travel agency.

A one-way economy ticket on an Air France flight now costs 26,000 yuan, more than triple the usual price of 5,000 yuan to 8,000 yuan, data from the platform showed. But there are none left for Sunday and only business-class seats costing 51,000 yuan one way are available for Monday.

“The Middle East accounts for a relatively small share of China’s international air route network,” said Guo Jia, a senior independent civil aviation industry analyst based in Guangzhou. “Major China-Europe flights typically fly via Central Asia and Turkey, rather than Middle Eastern airspace. Therefore, the direct impact of the conflict on Chinese carriers’ international routes is limited.”

He said Chinese carriers could see an uptick in demand on their established routes to Europe, Canada and Australia as a result of the disruption in the Gulf.

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