Investors brace as Beijing’s policy huddle tests durability of China stock rebound



Investors are gearing up for a key economic policy meeting to be attended by President Xi Jinping and other top leaders, looking for signals on whether the high-stakes gathering will inject fresh momentum into a stock rally that has already run hard this year.
The annual Central Economic Work Conference – a year-end fixture that sets the tone for the following year’s macroeconomic agenda – is taking centre stage, with the market in need of new catalysts to extend a solid run this year.
Investors widely expect Beijing to maintain a proactive fiscal stance and accommodative monetary policy in 2026, while prioritising stronger domestic demand, technological innovation and the reduction of excess capacity in parts of the green economy.

“The market will be concentrated on policy signals mainly on how to stabilise growth and optimise the economic structure,” said Xu Chi, an analyst at Zhongtai Securities. “Fiscal policy will be much of the focus. If there’s any front-loading of fiscal spending or deficits, small-cap and high-beta consumer-discretionary companies such as retailers are expected to have trading opportunities.”

Attention is shifting back to economic fundamentals after a series of positives – including a re-rating of China’s tech sector, state-backed stock purchases and easing trade tensions – have been fully priced in, leaving limited room for further valuation expansion.

The CSI 300 Index has struggled to build on recent gains over the past month, as data pointed to a broadening slowdown and a protracted slide in property prices.

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